You can argue Apple is also a significant player here
If we were just talking about smartphone sales in America then yes Apple is significant, but Nokia as a company gets almost all of its money from non-smart phones sold outside America.
How can they possibly be rivals under those circumstances?
I just cannot see how Apple and Nokia could be affecting each other's share price when they're mainly operating in different markets with different kinds of product.
hrm, I think first u will see the small players dropping out, then samsung, LG and finally nokia and sony's market share dropping like mad.
Except that's not happening at all.
Moto dropped market share significantly, and they were a huge player. At the same time, all their rivals increased their market shares significantly. There's no pattern at all.
few years from now only apple and windows mobile will still be around
Let's put this in perspective shall we:
Apple has sold something like 5 million phones which gives them a 0.5% market share, and they hope to increase it to 10 million a year which would give them a 1% market share. Even if they sold 100 million phones that would still only give them 10% of the market.
And something like the iPhone is never going to take over the world because most people buy cheap basic phones. It's too expensive, too fragile and too big (and I'd say the same about Nokia's higher end phones too).
It's the cheap end where market share is won and lost, because those are the kind of phones people actually buy.
Really, Nokia make great phones, they should focus on WM7 with a custom UI like HTC and Palm does
Nokia sell as many smartphones as all their rivals combined. What benefit would it bring them to suddenly switch to an OS used by much lower-selling companies like HTC or Palm?
I've worked for phone retail for 15 years. I can count the amount of people who ask for a symbian phone on 1 hand. Yet i get people asking for windows mobile OS phones weekly.
It's not about how many people ask for Symbian, it's about how many people BUY Symbian. Symbian phone sales are something like three times bigger than Windows Mobile phone sales.
Hardware manufacturers make their money from selling hardware, not from how many people are fans of its OS.
People generally don't buy phones for installing software on, they buy them for the features that come built in. That's why the iPhone got a lot of positive coverage even though you couldn't install any software at all on the first version. Some of us do of course install software, that's what sites like AAS are for, but we're very much in the minority.
In fact even on desktop computers you'll see the number of people installing software going down as more and more people use them purely for accessing online services like websites, VOIP, e-mail etc. The whole culture of installing software is gradually dying away, and the significance of the OS with it.
A phone OS isn't just there for users to install third party apps though, it's also to allow built-in apps to run, either from the manufacturer or from the phone network operator. In this regard Symbian is streets ahead of Windows Mobile.